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EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

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Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

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S&P 500

The Standard & Poor's 500, abbreviated as the S&P 500, or just "the S&P” is a market value-weighted index of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). It is seen as a leading indicator of U.S. equities and generally perceived as the most representative.

The S&P 500 stock market index, maintained by S&P Dow Jones Indices, comprises exactly 505 common stocks – including two share classes of stock from 5 of its component companies – issued by 500 large-cap companies and traded on American stock exchanges (including the 30 companies that compose the Dow Jones Industrial Average, DJIA) and covers about 80% of the American equity market by capitalization. The index is weighted by free-float market capitalization, so more valuable companies account for relatively more of the index. The index constituents and the constituent weights are updated regularly using rules published by S&P Dow Jones Indices.

The companies of the index are selected by the S&P Index Committee, a team of analysts and economists at Standard & Poor's following selection criteria including market size, liquidity and industry grouping.

Over time, the S&P 500 can be used as a benchmark for the economy.


HISTORIC HIGHS AND LOWS FOR S&P 500

  • All-time records: Max: 3397 on 20/02/2020 - Min: 4.4 on 05/1932
  • Last 5 years: Max: 3397 on 20/02/2020 - Min: 1807 on 11/02/2016

* Data as of February 2020


ASSETS THAT INFLUENCE THE S&P 500 THE MOST

  • Currencies: USD.
  • Commodities: Oil and Gold.
  • Bonds: T-Bond (Treasury bond is a marketable, fixed-interest U.S. government debt security).

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE THE S&P 500

Since the S&P 500 is a benchmark of American stocks, what will impact its value is related to all those decisions and figures that affect the results of big companies in the USA. That is, among others:

  • Economic indicators of inflation (CPI, PPI,...), consumer confidence (as Michigan Consumer Confidence Index), growth (GDP), employment (Non Farm Payrolls) and salaries (Average Hourly Wages)
  • interest rates decided by the Federal Reserve System, which is the central banking system of the United States of America. It was created on December 23, 1913, with the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, after a series of financial panics led to the desire for central control of the monetary system in order to alleviate financial crises. Jerome Powell is the 16th Chair of the Federal Reserve, serving in that office since February 2018. He was nominated to the Fed Chair position by former President Donald Trump and confirmed by the United States Senate.
  • Fiscal policy, trade deals, business laws decided by the US administration (Joe Biden), but also by the US Treasury Department (Janet Yellen) and the US Department of Commerce (Wynn Coggins). The US Department of the Treasury's mission is to maintain a strong economy and create economic and job opportunities by promoting the conditions that enable economic growth and stability at home and abroad, strengthen national security by combating threats and protecting the integrity of the financial system, and manage the U.S. Government’s finances and resources effectively. The US Department of Commerce is an executive department of the federal government concerned with promoting economic growth. Among its tasks are gathering economic and demographic data for business and government decision-making, and helping to set industrial standards
  • Energy prices such as electricity, oil, etc...because they have impact on production costs for those companies that are part of the S&P500.